Table 2 Predictive values (95% CI) for caries increment (ΔDMFS) at the cut-off point "81-100% chance of avoiding caries" in a group of 392 school children assessed by total and reduced Cariogram.
From: Caries risk assessment in school children using a reduced Cariogram model without saliva tests
Predictive values | Total Cariogram | Reduced Cariogram | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
no MS | no buffer | no secretion rate | no MS, no buffer, no secretion rate | ||
Sensitivity | 0.73 (0.65-0.81) | 0.84 (0.77-0.90) | 0.79 (0.72-0.86) | 0.77 (0.70-0.85) | 0.90 (0.85-0.95) |
Specificity | 0.60 (0.54-0.66) | 0.47 (0.41-0.52) | 0.51 (0.45-0.57) | 0.49 (0.44-0.55) | 0.20 (0.15-0.25) |
PPV | 0.45 (0.38-0.52) | 0.41 (0.35-0.47) | 0.42 (0.35-0.48) | 0.41 (0.34-0.47) | 0.34 (0.28-0.39) |
NPV | 0.83 (0.78-0.88) | 0.86 (0.81-0.92) | 0.85 (0.79-0.90) | 0.83 (0.78-0.89) | 0.82 (0.73-0.91) |
PLR | 1.80 (1.50-2.2) | 1.60 (1.40-1.80) | 1.60 (1.40-1.90) | 1.50 (1.30-1.80) | 1.10 (1.00-1.20) |
NLR | 0.45 (0.33-0.62) | 0.36 (0.23-0.54) | 0.41 (0.28-0.59) | 0.45 (0.32-0.64) | 0.50 (0.28-0.90) |