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Table 3 States and probabilities used in sensitivity analysis

From: Smoking Cessation therapy is a cost-effective intervention to avoid tooth loss in Brazilian subjects with periodontitis: an economic evaluation

Deterministic sensitivity analysis

State

Minimum value

Base value

Maximum value

Cost of smoking cessation therapy

185.86

227.41

525.59

Cost of smoking cessation therapy (plus maintenance costb)

271.77

227.41

611.50

Cost of periodontal treatment

174.82

194.25

213.68

Cost of maintenance therapy for current smokers

94.80

105.33

115.86

Cost of maintenance therapy for former smokers

47.39

52.66

57.93

Cost of not rehabilitating a tooth loss

12.56

13.95

15.35

Cost of rehabilitating a tooth loss

128.02

142.24

156.46

Discount rate

0.03

0.05

0.07

Probability of smoking cessation with some therapy

0.16c; 0.23

0.30

0.38

Probability of tooth loss in non-smokers

0.0003

0.003

0.005 (BR)- 0.006#0.09 (WW)

Probability of losing a tooth and not rehabilitate

0.09

0.09

0.41

Utility periodontitis

0.67

0.76

0.89

Utility after periodontal treatment

0.76

0.86

0.96

Utility maintenance therapy

0.85

0.93

0.98

Utility of tooth loss and no rehabilitation

0.55

0.61

0.67

Utility tooth loss and removable partial prothesis

0.62

0.69

0.76

Risk of tooth loss for former smokers

0.98

1.15

1.35

Risk of tooth loss for current smokers

2.29

2.60

2.96, 4.17c

Probabilistic sensitivity analysis

State

Distribution

Minimum value

Maximum value

Cost of smoking cessation therapy

Triangular

185.86

525.59

Cost of periodontal treatment

Triangular

174.82

213.68

Cost of maintenance therapy for current smokers

Triangular

94.80

115.86

Cost of maintenance therapy for former smokers

Triangular

47.39

57.93

Cost of tooth extraction and not rehabilitate

Triangular

12.56

15.35

Cost of tooth extraction and rehabilitate

Triangular

128.02

156.46

Discount rate

Uniform

0.03

0.07

Probability of smoking cessation with therapy

Triangular

0.23

0.38

Probability of tooth loss in non-smokers

Triangular

0.0007

0.0127

Probability of losing a tooth and not rehabilitate

Triangular

0.07

0.11

Utility periodontitis

Triangular

0.67

0.89

Utility after periodontal treatment

Triangular

0.76

0.96

Utility maintenance therapy

Triangular

0.85

0.98

Utility of tooth loss and no rehabilitation

Triangular

0.55

0.67

Utility tooth loss and removable partial prothesis

Triangular

0.62

0.76

State

Distribution

Mean of logRRa

Standard Deviation of logRRa

Risk of tooth loss for former smokers

Normal

0.14

0.28

Risk of tooth loss for current smokers

Normal

0.96

0.27

  1. alogRR: logarithmic of relative risk
  2. bIncluding training [34]—For the sensitivity analysis, the global cost/program/year was considered per patient to project a conservative impact of including the therapy in the Public Health System.
  3. cUsed in deterministic sensitivity analysis. Value extracted from Nohlert E, Tegelberg A, Tillgren P, Johansson P, Rosenblad A, Helgason AR. Comparison of a high and a low intensity smoking cessation intervention in a dentistry setting in Sweden: a randomized trial. BMC Public Health. 2009 Apr 30;9:121. https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-9-121
  4. All costs are in U$ dollar
  5. BR (Brazil); WW (Worldwide)